Iran

February 3, 2026

War, a Trump-imposed deal or internal regime collapse: for Tehran, none of the options are good | Sanam Vakil

Iran’s leaders now face unprecedented peril. The regime has lost its footing, and the global mechanisms to avoid conflict no longer workDr Sanam Vakil is the director of Chatham House’s Middle East and North Africa programmeForty-seven years on from the Iranian revolution, Iran is confronting a strategic reality it has never faced before – a simultaneous crisis of domestic legitimacy and a credible threat of external attack so severe that regime survival can no longer be taken for granted. Until now, Tehran has survived wars, sanctions, assassinations, mass protests and international…